FTR reported that U.S. trailer demand strengthened again in April, extending March’s upside surprise rather than following the typical spring slowdown. Net orders rose 11% month over month (m/m) to 19,953 units and doubled (+100%) year over year (y/y) against an easy April 2025 comparison. Orders were also well above the 10-year April average of 15,474 units, marking another constructive data point for a market that had been under pressure.
U.S. trailer builds were essentially flat m/m in April at 17,576 units and up 1% y/y. Calendar year-to-date builds were also roughly flat y/y at 62,929 units, indicating continued production discipline among trailer manufacturers.
In November, total trailer net orders were well above total production, increasing backlogs by 10,124 units (+12% m/m) to 92,213 units. Lower m/m production and growing backlogs pushed the backlog/build ratio up to 7.0 months, the highest reading since February 2024. This indicates some decreasing pressure on OEMs to scale back production in the near term.
The commercial vehicle market continues to see a disconnect between demand for trailers and demand for trucks. North American Class 8 net orders increased 2% y/y in September-November 2024 while U.S. trailer net orders dropped by 42% y/y during the same period. For-hire fleets have been prioritizing investments in new power units over trailers in 2024 YTD, likely influenced by reduced profitability or shifts in trade cycles. OEMs have notably cut back on production, but if 2025 trailer orders remain well below expectations, some OEMs may need to extend or deepen production cuts into next year.
Dan Moyer, senior analyst, commercial vehicles, commented, “Overall, the U.S. trailer market appears to be moving from deterioration toward stabilization and modest improvement. Freight conditions are improving in pockets, but the recent rebound remains driven mainly by replacement demand and selective fleet activity rather than broad expansion. Trailers should therefore continue to lag Class 8 in the near term with improvement concentrated among stronger fleets, aged-equipment replacement, and dry van normalization.
“Cost and policy risks remain key overhangs and may already be shaping demand patterns. A change in how the Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs are applied adds pricing and sourcing volatility for trailer equipment with significant metals exposure, and a van trailer antidumping and countervailing duties investigation adds further uncertainty.
“April trailer demand was better than expected, but a durable upcycle will likely require stronger fleet margins, higher trailer utilization, further absorption of excess capacity, and clearer visibility into trade-related costs.”
Dan Moyer
Senior Analyst, Commercial Vehicles©2026 FTR Transportation Intelligence. All rights reserved.