Author Archives: Jonathan Starks

About Jonathan Starks

Jonathan has spent his entire career in the freight transportation sector having joined FTR in 2001. His expertise includes freight modeling, modal analysis, fleet characteristics, and equipment demand. He is directly responsible for producing FTR's more than 13 million datapoints and 85,000 forecasted dataseries each and every month.

The Jobs Smoother: 2020 in the rear-view mirror

By | January 13, 2021

Amazingly, it has been exactly one year since I last did a piece on the monthly jobs report. Then again, the last 12 months were 2020. During the last year, we had such unprecedented levels of employment change that the Jobs Smoother that we typically look at didn’t tell us what we really needed to… Read More »

Trans4Cast: Continued Strength in Economic Data

By | May 4, 2018

Continued Strength in Economic Data Anyone in the business of forecasting, supply chain management, trucking or logistics have been wondering when we were going to see a peak to this mountain of positive economic data we’ve been seeing dating back to late 2017. We’re experiencing capacity constraints like never before and the Market Demand Index… Read More »

Trans4Cast: Truck Orders

By | March 13, 2018

Truck Orders on a Tear After weaker truck conditions that persisted through most of 2016, 2017 was a much better year and truck orders finished the year very strong. And then 2018 hit. January orders hit a near-record level and they stayed above 40k orders in February. Those are big numbers. That we had a… Read More »

Trans4Cast – Economic Outlook: Stable Growth … with Risks

By | November 16, 2017

Recent webinars in the FTR State of Freight series have focused on the outcomes for economic growth in 2018, along with a discussion of some of the inherent risks. Overall, the consensus is that the economic outlook looks healthy for 2018. In addition to getting the valuable opinions of FTR’s Industry Experts, we also like to… Read More »

Trans4Cast – Industrial Activity on the Mend

By | November 14, 2017

At the beginning of November we got the ISM Manufacturing Index results for last month that showed that the strong manufacturing segment is continuing. In the middle of last month we got the official September Industrial Production results from the Federal Reserve. While August was notably negative, the September numbers were once again in the… Read More »

Trans4Cast – Another Strong Showing for Manufacturers

By | November 10, 2017

Last week, the U.S. Census Bureau announced the September full report on manufacturers shipments, inventories and orders which is a reliable barometer on the health of the economy reporting the month to month change in new orders for manufactured goods. Strong Demand Overall, September orders came in at an increase of $6.5 billion, or 1.4%,… Read More »